IN-DEPTH: The 11 Senate Seats Most Likely to Flip in 2024

There will be 34 U.S. Senate seats on ballots across the nation in November 2024, including 20 held by Democrats, three by independents, and 11 by Republicans.
Of the 20 seats now held by incumbent Democrats, at least eight are in states defined as “competitive” in initial assessments by elections ratings services such as Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Inside Elections, with three Senate Democrats in states won by former President Donald Trump in 2020—West Virginia, Montana, and Ohio.
Of the 11 U.S. Senate seats held by GOP incumbents, all are in states rated as securely red although Texas, where Sen. Ted Cruz is seeking a third term, is regarded by Inside Elections as a “battleground Republican” state where a Democrat is expected to be competitive. Also, Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah), if he chooses to run, could face a stiff primary challenge….

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