The killing of Hamas’ leader Yahya Sinwar represents a major symbolic and military victory for Israel a year after the hardline ideologue masterminded a devastating terrorist attack that shattered the country’s sense of security.
But it’s unclear if Sinwar’s demise will open the door to the release of Israeli hostages still held by Hamas, end the war in Gaza or defuse the broader tensions between Israel and Iran, former U.S. officials and regional analysts say.
Having severely weakened Hamas, its Hezbollah allies in Lebanon and its patrons in Iran, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has a rare window of opportunity to turn his country’s military successes into lasting diplomatic deals, former officials said.
“It’s a test of Israeli leadership,” said Bruce Riedel, a former CIA officer and national security official who focused on the Middle East. “It is an opportunity for Israel to declare victory and accept a cease fire. A ceasefire in Gaza could lead to a reduction in regional tensions.”
Sinwar has been in Israel’s sights ever since Hamas fighters breached Israel’s southern border on Oct. 7, 2023, in a surprise attack that left some 1,200 Israelis dead, most of them civilians. More than 200 others were taken hostage.
But after a year-long manhunt, including help from U.S. intelligence agencies, Israeli troops stumbled upon the Hamas leader during a routine patrol, Israeli officials said.