Unusually mild weather will continue across the northern part of the US for the remainder of the winter, according to the US Climate Prediction Center. The prediction service has also forecast drought creeping into the Midwest over the next three months, with some soy and corn growing areas expected to be impacted ahead of the planting season. Farmers concerned about supplies have been warned to be prepared to adapt their planting schedules, however, they are unlikely to be the only ones to be affected by a changing climate.
Experts predict that above-average temperatures are likely from the Northeast to parts of California, mirroring the effects of El Niño, a warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean, which is currently influencing weather patterns around the world.
The US South has a higher chance of experiencing more rain, while the Great Lakes and northern Rocky Mountains could see less snow and storminess. Karin Gleason from the National Centers for Environmental Information confirmed January to November was the hottest period in the 174-year record, and it’s virtually certain that 2023 will be the warmest year to date.
The mild weather has had a significant impact on the US natural gas market, with futures experiencing an almost 10% decline in prices this month. Natural gas is used extensively in the US, in everything from electricity generation to cooking and home heating, so the price drop is expected to have far-reaching consequences. The news has been welcomed by consumers, now benefitting from more affordable energy. However, companies that profit from selling natural gas have been experiencing a downturn.
The US Climate Prediction Center has recommended that businesses and policymakers adapt to the changing climate to mitigate the impact on the economy and people’s lives. Experts have suggested strategies such as improving water management to cope with drought, and developing new technologies to enable greater use of renewable energy sources to meet the changing demands of consumers.
While the current situation may call for adaptation, experts warn that protecting the planet for future generations still requires addressing the root causes of climate change through policy and behavioural changes.