President Biden is ahead of former President Donald Trump in deep blue New York — but only by single digits, according to a 2024 election poll released Thursday.
New Yorkers favor Biden over Trump by a 7-point margin (48% to 41%) in a head-to-head matchup, the Emerson College Polling/The Hill/PIX11 survey found.
The 81-year-old president’s lead expanded to 10 points in the Empire State when 12% of undecided voters were asked which candidate they were leaning toward voting for.
Trump, 77, fared better with third-party candidates on the ballot, garnering 44% support to Biden’s 38% backing.
Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted that independents in New York are backing Trump by a significant margin.
“Independent voters in New York who traditionally vote for Democrats, according to exit polling, have flipped to lean toward Trump by a margin of 10 points, 43% to 33%,” Kimball said in a statement.
A Republican presidential candidate hasn’t won New York in the general election since 1984, when President Ronald Reagan beat former Vice President Walter Mondale by an 8-point margin.
In 2016, Trump lost the Empire State to Hillary Clinton by a 22.5-point margin, and in 2020, Biden defeated the former president by 23.2 points in New York.