Former President Donald Trump is ahead of current President Joe Biden in a potential 2024 election rematch, a poll conducted by the New York Times and Siena College has revealed. The survey suggests that Trump leads Biden among registered voters by a two-point margin of 46%-44%. However, in a much closer race, Biden holds a narrow lead of 47%-45% over Trump among likely voters in the 2024 contest.
The poll is the latest in a series of surveys to suggest that Trump has gained momentum over Biden in recent months. As Trump gains ground, the Democratic Party appears to be losing support among young voters, who are a crucial voting bloc for them. The survey indicated that nearly three-quarters of voters aged 18-29, who had significantly supported Biden in the 2020 election, disapprove of Biden’s handling of the conflict in Gaza.
According to the Siena College poll, younger voters would now back Trump over Biden by a margin of 49%-43%, a dramatic shift from June, when Biden held a ten-point lead over Trump among young voters. This shift is a result of Biden’s declining support ratio due to his mishandling of the Israel-Palestinian war in Gaza, which has resulted in a loss of support among a key demographic.
The poll results suggest that Trump remains a formidable competitor in a potential 2024 election contest, regardless of his loss in the 2020 election. The former president has not yet announced whether he will run for president in 2024, but he has repeatedly hinted at his interest in returning to the White House. The poll numbers signal that Trump’s base of support has remained relatively stable since 2020, while younger voters have shifted their support base.
The poll also indicates that winning the support of younger voters may remain critical for Democrats in future elections. The study has shown that younger voters are unwilling to turn a blind eye to President Biden’s policies and actions. More than half of voters aged 18-29 view him unfavorably, a trend that could impact the Democratic Party’s electoral prospects in the years to come.
In summary, the survey by the New York Times and Siena College indicates that former President Trump is edging President Biden in an increasingly possible 2024 general election rematch. The survey further highlights the significant loss of support by young voters due to Biden’s mishandling of the Israel-Palestinian war in Gaza. Trump’s base remains relatively stable while younger voters have moved in his favor, demonstrating the importance of this demographic for future elections.